RCL +7.0%: an unusually large move for this stock

Prove it

Every claim on the graphic, labelled: observed (straight from the data), calculated (worked out from it), or possible contributor (lines up in time, not a confirmed cause).

• OBSERVED
  RCL +7.0% todaySep 29, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
• OBSERVED
  Its sector fund (XLY) +0.1% todaySep 29, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
• CALCULATED
  6.9 points more than its sectorHow: stock return − sector fund return · Sep 29, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
• OBSERVED
  S&P 500 (SPY) −0.2% todaySep 29, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
• CALCULATED
  Volume 1.0× its 20-day averageHow: today’s volume ÷ average of the last 20 days · Sep 29, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
• CALCULATED
  Bigger than 97% of its daily moves over the past 250 trading daysHow: share of past daily moves smaller in size · Sep 29, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
• POSSIBLE CONTRIBUTOR
  News: “These S&P500 stocks are moving in today's session”Published around the move. Timing only, not a confirmed cause. · Sep 29, 2026, 3:05 PM ET
• POSSIBLE CONTRIBUTOR
  News: “Discover which S&P500 stocks are making waves on Tuesday.”Published around the move. Timing only, not a confirmed cause. · Sep 29, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
• CALCULATED
  After the 12 most similar RCL days since Oct 13, 2021, the stock was higher 5 days later 5 of 12 timesHistory, not a forecast. · How: same-company days with a move of similar size and direction